Many investors have been left dissatisfied with Cardano’s performance this year due to the huge decline in the value of ADA, the native cryptocurrency of the blockchain. On-chain data shows that the percentage of Cardano (ADA) addresses that have been lost is already over 94%, and data points to the possibility of further losses soon.
However, only some analysts share this sentiment. Despite recent events, a crypto analyst has used historical data to predict a mind-blowing 2,300% surge for ADA, Cardano’s native token.
Analyst Uses Historical Data to Make Bold Prediction
ADA has not been immune to the current lengthy bear cycle in the cryptocurrency market. Although the crypto is still one of the top 10 in market cap, it’s now down 92% from its all-time high of $3.09 in 2021. Cardano has been consolidating between $0.50 and $0.20 for months, leading some to question whether it can ever recover to reach its all-time high.
Ali Martinez, a well-known crypto expert, recently shared his thoughts on the cryptocurrency on the social networking platform X. Martinez points out that the current consolidation of ADA’s price mirrors the one that occurred for 665 days in 2018-2020 before 2021’s bull run.
Based on this trend, Martinez predicts the current bearish trend will bottom out as early as December or as late as July 2024. According to the analyst’s projection, a repetition of this cycle would see ADA surge to $6. The crypto trading at $0.2474 would mean a surge of over 2,300%.
How Feasible Is This Bullish ADA Prediction?
The crypto analyst makes a compelling case based on historical data, but current market sentiment points to a lesser gain. Market activity has shown major altcoins under pressure as Bitcoin continues to dominate the market.
Most of the attention and market gains seem to be going to Bitcoin as the industry awaits the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF. While the next major ADA rally could be close, a rally to $6 seems to be bleak at the moment.
Cardano remains one of the most actively developed blockchain ecosystems with an ambitious roadmap and developers. While this prediction seems overly optimistic, a strong rally isn’t out of the question if the overall crypto market recovers and interest in ADA reignites.
Immediate short-term prediction for ADA points to more downside, possibly falling as low as $0.15 before the year ends. However, if all goes well and the blockchain continues to maintain active development, a long-term prediction for Cardano is between $10 and $45 in the longer term. For long-term believers in ADA, the current low price is an opportunity to increase their holdings for the next crypto bull market.
Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview